Global Job Quality Stagnates: Insights from the ILO 2026 Report

News Context

1. Headline Unemployment and the “Jobs Gap”

  • Source of Information. This data is derived from the International Labour Organization (ILO)’s *Employment and Social Trends 2026* report, released on January 14, 2026. The full article can be read here: .
  • Stable Unemployment Rate. The global unemployment rate is projected to remain at a historically low **4.9%** throughout 2026, which translates to roughly **186 million** people.
  • The Hidden Jobs Gap. While official unemployment is low, the “jobs gap”—which includes people who want to work but cannot find employment—is much higher, projected to reach **408 million** people this year.

2. The Persistence of Extreme Working Poverty

  • Stalled Progress. Between 2015 and 2025, the share of workers in extreme poverty declined by only **3.1 percentage points** (to 7.9%), a sharp slowdown compared to the **15 percentage point** decline seen in the previous decade.
  • Living on the Edge. Approximately **284 million workers** globally still live in extreme poverty, surviving on less than **$3.00 a day**.
  • Regional Disparities. ILO Director-General Gilbert F. Houngbo warned that the number of “working poor” is actually rising in low-income countries, where economic progress has failed to translate into better job conditions.

3. The Rise of Informal Employment

  • A Reversal of Gains. After a decade of decline, the global rate of informality increased by **0.3 percentage points** between 2015 and 2025.
  • Insecure Labor. More than **2 billion workers** (projected to reach 2.1 billion by late 2026) are in informal employment, lacking access to social protection, job security, and basic labor rights.
  • Geographical Concentration. High rates of informality remain most persistent in **Africa** and **Southern Asia**, where structural transformations into formal sectors have slowed.

4. Youth Employment and NEET Status

  • Youth Unemployment Surge. The global youth unemployment rate climbed to **12.4%** in 2025, significantly higher than the general population’s rate.
  • NEET Statistics. Around **260 million** young people are classified as “Not in Education, Employment, or Training” (NEET).
  • Vulnerable Cohorts. In low-income countries, the NEET rate reaches a staggering **27.9%**, highlighting a major hurdle for nations hoping to benefit from a “demographic dividend.”

5. Entrenched Gender Inequalities

  • Participation Gap. Women still account for only **two-fifths (40%)** of global employment and are **24% less likely** than men to participate in the labor force.
  • Structural Barriers. The report notes that gender equality in the workplace has stalled due to persistent social norms, care responsibilities, and stereotypes.
  • Limited Advances. One of the few positive trends identified is the gradual reduction in “contributing family work,” which has traditionally disproportionately affected women.

6. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI)

  • Reshaping Entry-Level Work. The ILO warns that digitalization and AI are rapidly reshaping production systems faster than many workers can adapt.
  • Threat to Educated Youth. In high-income countries, AI and automation pose a specific threat to educated youth seeking their first jobs in high-skilled occupations.
  • Productivity Paradox. While AI could theoretically boost productivity growth, there is significant uncertainty regarding how those gains will be distributed among workers.

7. Trade Uncertainties and Structural Shifts

  • A Persistent Feature. Global trade policy uncertainty is expected to remain a short-term fixture of the economic landscape, inhibiting long-term investment in job creation.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions. These uncertainties are forcing a reorganization of global supply chains, which the ILO says is often occurring without adequate social safeguards.
  • Impact on Wages. Disruptions in trade flows have contributed to stagnant real wage growth in several regions, especially across Europe and parts of Asia.

8. The Divergence Between Income Groups

  • Ageing rich nations. High-income economies face a shrinking labor force due to ageing populations, which helps keep their unemployment rates low but creates labor shortages.
  • Explosive growth in poor nations. Low-income countries are seeing rapid labor force expansion (projected employment growth of **3.1%** in 2026), but the new jobs are often low-quality and low-paying.
  • Widening Productivity Gap. The gap in labor productivity between advanced and developing economies is deepening, further entrenching global inequality.

9. Labour Income Share Stagnation

  • Below Pre-Pandemic Levels. Globally, the share of national income going to labor (wages) remains below pre-pandemic levels.
  • Capital-Intensive Growth. Growth models in many countries are becoming increasingly capital-intensive, meaning workers are benefitting less from productivity gains than investors.
  • Weak Bargaining Power. The report suggests that weak labor organizations in several regions are limiting the ability of workers to negotiate for a fairer share of economic growth.

10. Key Policy Recommendations

  • Beyond Economic Growth. The ILO argues that relying on GDP growth alone is insufficient to deliver decent work; governments must proactively manage structural transformations.
  • Investing in Skills. High priority must be given to investing in education and infrastructure that specifically targets “human-centric” skills that AI cannot easily replicate.
  • Strengthening Social Protection. Formalization strategies—legal reforms and social safety nets—are required to help the 2.1 billion informal workers transition into secure employment.